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The search for the real thing: a growing challenge for brands?

The Future Foundation has been monitoring an aspirational trend we call Authentiseeking for more than five years now. Born of a confluence of three other long term trends in our stable – Ethical Consumerism, Local Preference, and the Simplification of Complexity – this is about a powerful urge that many people feel to get in touch with what they believe is a more ‘real’ world. The idea of what constitutes an authentic, unmediated way of living is of course, a fascinating construct to explore and one that has multiple components. It is also driving a demand for new services amongst marketers and innovators from firms in our line of work thus creating a strong business-to-business angle to consider. More and more, it seems there is a desire amongst business people to get out of the office, away from the computer screen and to be exposed to raw and unpredictable environments and experiences – including debates, lectures and tours. The IPA recently took groups of agency heads to China and Silicon Valley as the most effective way of learning what is really happening.  The idea of consumer safaris which provide direct access to curated experiences in the same physical space as craftspeople and niche services targeted at specific consumer groups is gaining momentum – such as The Liminal Space run by artists and designers. And every night of the week, the business community in London can choose from myriad events, debates and tours ranging from art tours with House 7 (organised by the Soho House group) or high level debates with Intelligence Squared that provide privileged access to the intellectual and cultural coal face for those needing ideas, inspiration and insights.

For many consumers Authentiseeking is about a return to a more natural mode of existence –in harmony with nature and our ‘true selves’ – as an antidote to the consequences of mass production and the consumer society that shapes so much of our existence and reference points these days in what is also an increasingly urbanised world. Rural sociologists from Newcastle University working with us on a Defra-funded scenario project on the future of the countryside, described it as ‘symbolic rurality’, by which they meant the idealised image of the countryside that we all carry around in our heads, and want to be there for us, even if we find it almost impossible to leave the city these days. More than 50% agree that they feel a need to be closer to the country, rising to two thirds amongst the baby boomer age group.  This certainly contributes to desire for second homes – in an attempt to inhabit that rose- covered cottage in the country although fewer than 10% actually own one. And it doubtless drove the much-heralded ‘downshifting’ trend that was widely discussed by journalists in the quality press in the late 1990s – although by our calculations only 7% of people could ever have afforded to seriously consider this option.

There is also a more challenging explanation of the Authentiseeking trend. This proposes, following in the footsteps of the recently-deceased French social theorist Jean Baudrillard, that our daily lives in the modern world are becoming a negation of reality as we once understood it. With proliferating communications channels, now filled by signs and symbols constructed to communicate and promote the products and services of the consumer society, he argued that we effectively live in a simulacrum which simulates physical and emotional reality, but are ersatz representations and thus less able to satisfy our real needs. And the growing amount of screen time that each of us is now giving to the range of digital devices we own could be accentuating the scope and depth of the simulation possible.  We spend more than ten hours a week on average on line and nearly half of the UK population is extending that through ownership of a smart phone.  It is no surprise that many express the need to get away from it all – from the 60% who agree that they sometimes want to just switch off their phones and computers, to the 40% who now define luxury in terms of relaxation and escape rather than material goods – suggesting a wish to get behind the façade and reconnect with our true self(another potent construct in our post-Freudian age).

Clearly this creates a big challenge for marketers and advertisers – how to communicate that a brand is authentic through using the very complex language of signs in a more digitally facilitated world that is creating the simulacrum itself? No wonder semioticians are becoming more widely consulted – they are becoming part of the deciphering equipment that brand managers can deploy, along with a wider tool kit of good insight and probing analysis.  Jack Daniels’ current advertising is a good example of how the emphasis on the real, the slow and heritage can work for a smaller niche brand. Divine chocolate puts the accent on their co-owing grower community – ethics and authenticity are mutually reinforcing.  And some big names are beginning to figure out what it requires them to do and it can tick another box by demonstrating transparency too. Oxfam offer visits to overseas projects as a prize for supporters in a regular draw and Asda now provide live feeds from webcams in farms and factories round the world. Authentiseeking may be well established, but it is gathering momentum in response to the spread of digital interaction and our long term responses to the reality of living in the urbanised consumer world.

To give our clients a taste of the real thing, Future Foundation will be hosting our very first consumer safari on 28th June, a curated adventure into luxury, sustainability, connoisseurship plus a futuristic food tasting.  We still have a few spaces left so if you’re interested in attending, please contact Josie Watson on 0203 008 4889.

Irish Ferries tapping into the nano-trip

You might have noticed a new advertising drive by Irish ferries, very similar to the below (but narrated by a man)

http://www.dailymotion.com/video/xl030d_irish-ferries-advert_shortfilms

This, to me, is the language of the nano-trip – a (mainly European) travel trend that first emerged at the sharp end of the 00s and has been building up a head of steam recently. The France Tourist Authority adverts plastered all across the tube (encouraging people to ditch the staycation) is also in similar territory. On mainland Europe, you can also see various marketing campaigns targeting visitors from neighbouring countries specifically.

All this of course is certainly influenced by our long-standing desire for holidays abroad vs. professionalised budgeting.

On a global level, this feeds into the wider trend of inter-regional travel : this is seeing significant growth (particularly in China/Asia) and is expected to rise throughout the 10s.

Your questions answered – part 2

Future Foundation conferences always inspire debate – and our last one, held on May 3rd, was no exception.  Although our fantastic host, BBC Home Editor Mark Easton, fielded as many questions as possible, ideas  continued to stream in via our Twitter feed and text service.  So the panel have regrouped to answer the additional questions.

Lena Roland via Twitter (@RolandReckons): Are mobile payments and the consumer data behind them really secure, not just today but long term?

Kerry Rheinstein, editorial analyst replies: Lena thanks for the question. You are right; currently, security of mobile payments remains a prominent issue for many people. Our data shows that only around 18% of all consumers think that, “mobile phones are as safe as computers when it comes to securing your personal information.” However, the proportion of people who agree with that statement rises to 31% when looking at 16-34 year olds. This shows the impact that young people’s greater familiarity and trust of smartphones have on perceptions of smartphone security and mobile payments.

Quantifying this point, our research shows that 47% of all consumers and 69% of 16-34 year olds would be interested in using mobile payments if it was safe and easy to do so. Therefore, we suggest that in the long term as familiarity and expanded use of smartphones amongst more people and more activities grow, more people will trust smartphones and not just interest but also use of mobile payments will grow too.

Megan Bannon via Twitter (@anthromeg): How has the recession contributed to Everyday Exceptional? Have people sought out reasons for celebration to get through?

Heather Corker, Editorial Analyst: The recession has had an impact on people wanting to experience happiness/ exceptional things in smaller, more affordable, packages; and perhaps to do so bit more often as an antidote to the financial gloom. It might not be the case that people are consciously or intentionally seeking out reasons for celebration, but rather carrying a “why not?” mentality, living for the day and not waiting to experience some frivolity (in case things get worse…). Our position is that this behaviour has become (or is becoming) a more normalised way of living and extending to more and varied areas.

Truth Central LDN via Twitter (@TruthCentralLDN): Does avoiding bad experiences really mean avoiding new experiences? Surely even with Eat Social they would vet restaurant

Parimal Makwana, Senior Editorial Analyst, says: Our increasing ability to vet our consumption does mean we can more easily avoid bad experiences when we are actively seeking new experiences. But we know from our research that seeking new experiences is something of great importance to consumers… so rather than discouraging us from trying new things we are witnessing the rise of managed discovery – where consumers prefer to carefully manage their path to discovery instead of taking a leap into the unknown. We still want to try new things but prefer to be reassured that our new endeavours will please.

At the same time by living vicariously through others’ reviews, research and ratings our expectations of any new experiences are always pre-set – creating new challenges for brands to both uphold these expectations and to try and create genuine surprise and excitement for consumers.

By text: Does everyday exceptional not habituate people so that exceptional becomes every day?

Jim Murphy, Editorial Director, replies:  This is an interesting reflection on Everyday Exceptional. Maybe the deeper story is that people and markets alike are now programmed to make life special in all kinds of contrived and deliberately framed  ways. What was exceptional in the past can indeed become banalised - but for that very reason we will all try to redefine “exceptional”. Hence the energy in the trend.

Megan Bannon via Twitter (@anthromeg): Will the 2012 localism campaign have any more joy that 1968′s less than successful ‘I’m backing Britain’?

Jim Murphy, Editorial Director, says: This all depends on all the glorious unpredictables of 2012 : the success of the Oly-opening ceremony, the medals tally, the Thames sail-past for the Jubilee not being ruined by rain… We should assume that quite a lot of positive pro-Brit energy will be released but how long will it last? Consumer respect for Made in Britain is not negligible  -  but will it survive economic recovery (when it happens), the onward march of globalisation, the fragmented regional identities of the UK…?  Or turn into something different in the years ahead  -  something not as easily exploitable by business?

Idiology via Twitter (@idiologists): Have consumers given up on personal responsibility for the environment? We now see that govt should act before individuals

Jim Murphy, Editorial Director: Consumer motives towards green agendas have held together pretty well across the economic difficulties of the last 4 years. But it is indeed true that consumers want companies and governments to do the heavy lifting. One related question is : what happens when so many scientific innovations  – in the field of fossil fuel exploitation and use, for instance  – create more eco and more guilt-free consumption?  What happens when transports systems become so green that active pro-green consumer engagement is not required?  This is the world we are entering.

Sue J via Twitter (@spartaksuze): How far will professionalised lifestyles go? Will our iPhones tell us when we should go to bed soon?

Jim Murphy, Editorial Director, comments: Well, this might be a scary way of putting it but the End of Inefficiency trend is very much the way we live, not now but soon….

Megan Bannon ‏via Twitter (@anthromeg): Is Digital Detox tourism the next trend in travel? Might be some opportunity there for those of us who can’t turn off?

Barry Clark, Account Director says: No, I don’t think so.  As Parimal’s presentation on End of Adventure and my presentation on Performative Leisure made clear, digital is a big part of organising and enjoying trips.  However I think we will see some smaller and more independent operators using accidents of geography (such as poor reception areas and infrastructure) to their advantage.  Indeed we have seen hoteliers in France and other countries promoting their premises on such a basis.  Digital detox might be the next niche trend in travel.

Rachael Lake via Twitter (@rachaelLake): If cheese was an antidote to globalisation, how will we rebel against digital maximisation?

Barry Clark, Account Director has a two part response: 1) Is cheese an antidote to globalisation?  Perhaps.  In the example you reference cheese appeals to us because we’re highly involved in it; we’re interested.  Cheese also appeals through localism, heritage, tradition and its multi-sensory nature.  All of these factors are powerful motivators to consumers and cheese is acting here as the antithesis of globalisation.  So if we extend the logic to digital we’ll be looking for something that is the polar opposite of computing and the internet; getting back to nature perhaps, gardening, country breaks, traditional skills, the National Trust…

Answer 2) Maltesers.

Keep the debate alive – add your own comments and ask us questions!

Trend manifestation: Home Elephant

Home Elephant is an application which provides a new way for people in the digital age to meet their neighbours. The app, available for smartphones and via Facebook, uses an individual’s location to establish social networks at a local level (whether across a neighbourhood, town or city).

Only when five users are established within an area does their neighbourhood become listed on the map and they can then begin to post notices, ask questions or alert neighbours of suspicious behaviour. Posts are private and visible only to the members of each neighbourhood.

Lost your cat? Post it on Home Elephant. Need a babysitter?  Ask your network of neighbours for a good recommendation. Saw something suspicious? Alert the neighbours, or police, with Home Elephant.

As ever if you want to find out more about this (and hundreds of other) trend manifestations then please contact your nVision account manager.

Related trends: Networked Family, Culture of Fear, Surveillance Society, Mobile Living

Trend manifestation: Red Market and late-night cuisine

One that is quite literally close to our heart now.  After a successful trial during Easter 2011, weekend revellers in Shoreditch will from June have a new destination for that late-night snack : the Red Market.

Hosting stalls from what the organisers claim are 20 of the capital’s best-loved food vendors, the market (which will open during the daytime and not close until 3am on Saturdays and midnight on Sundays) hopes to offer an attractive alternative to the usual late-night fare of kebabs and chips  -  with options including “herby, peppery French sausages braised in white wine”, “wild mushroom risotto” and “Swedish meatballs”.

More, organisers claim that the site will feature an urban beach, a cocktail bar and street artists drawn from around the world.

For the party-goer in search of a more authentic experience, or who simply wants an alternative to mainstream bars and pubs, the market is likely to become a favourite haunt.

Today we passed the 300 mark in our bank of trend manifestations so please do feel free to contact your account manager if you’d like to find out more.  Or alternatively, talk to them in person at our nVision UK conference this Wednesday at 1 Wimpole Street!  nVision subscribers have complimentary passes to this event so if you haven’t booked your places yet, then give us a call.

Related trends: Out-of-Home Leisure, Authenti-seeking, Experience Economy

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